TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 7:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market examines assist production during the Uruguay vs Cape Verde World Cup match on June 21, 2026. Individual markets track whether specific players record at least one or two assists. Players listed as active but not entering the game will settle at the pre-game fair market price.
Each market resolves based on whether a designated player records at least the specified minimum number of assists during the entire Uruguay vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup match on June 21, 2026, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Markets feature tiered thresholds for certain players, distinguishing between single-assist and multi-assist performances. Settlement depends on the player entering the game; those remaining inactive throughout settle to the last fair market price established before the match begins. Once a player enters play, resolution is determined exclusively by the total assists recorded.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. Prediction markets can sometimes price outcomes more efficiently because traders have direct financial exposure to accuracy. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines on the same match can reveal where professional and retail traders disagree on assist totals.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different assist outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share reflects a fractional claim on the final result, and the current bid-ask spread determines the live odds you see. As traders place orders, the price adjusts to reflect new information and shifting conviction. The more trading activity and liquidity in this market, the tighter the spreads and the more efficient the price discovery becomes.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once the Uruguay vs Cape Verde match concludes and the final assist count is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the total number of assists recorded during the match by official match statistics. Resolution happens after the event is complete and confirmed through standard sports reporting channels. Traders holding positions in this market will see their outcomes settled based on the verified final assist total.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before Jun 22, 2026. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can alter expectations around playmaking and assist opportunities. Recent form and head-to-head history between Uruguay and Cape Verde may influence trader confidence in assist volume. Public injury reports, official team announcements, and betting market moves on related outcomes like total goals can also trigger repricing. As match day approaches, late-breaking roster updates or weather conditions affecting play style could generate significant trading activity.