TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Uruguay will be leading Cabo Verde at halftime in their FIFA World Cup match. Across Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, the aggregated consensus shows Uruguay leading at halftime at 100.0%, with Cabo Verde leading at just 0.1%. The official statistics from the governing body or event organizers will serve as the primary resolution source, with credible reporting used as a fallback if official data is not published within 24 hours of the match conclusion. Watch the halftime whistle on June 21, 2026, when the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time concludes to determine the outcome.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Cabo Verde, scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
This event captures all possible correct score outcomes specifically for the first half of the match. Resolution is determined by the score recorded at the conclusion of the first 45 minutes of play, independent of any second-half scoring. Each primary rule represents a distinct halftime scoreline, covering scenarios where Uruguay leads by various margins, Cape Verde leads by various margins, or the teams are tied at the half. The resolution mechanism treats each possible first-half score as a separate outcome, with the actual halftime result determining which single outcome resolves affirmatively.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Cabo Verde, scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket and Kalshi reflect decentralized, peer-to-peer pricing driven by trader conviction rather than sportsbook risk management. Prediction markets often move faster and price in real-time sentiment shifts, while traditional sportsbooks adjust more cautiously to manage liability. For Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde halftime outcomes, market odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to different liquidity pools, trader demographics, and information sets. Comparing the two reveals whether professional sportsbooks or crowd-sourced prediction markets are pricing the halftime result more efficiently.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Kalshi operate distinct user bases, fee structures, and liquidity depths, which naturally creates price variance. Polymarket may attract traders with different risk appetites or information sources than Kalshi, causing one platform to price Uruguay's halftime chances higher or lower. Arbitrage opportunities between platforms remain limited by withdrawal delays, platform fees, and regulatory constraints, allowing temporary spreads to persist. Additionally, each platform's order-book depth and recent trade flow independently influence the quoted odds, so identical outcomes can trade at meaningfully different probabilities across venues.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift halftime outcome expectations significantly. Uruguay's recent form, Cabo Verde's defensive record, and head-to-head history all influence trader positioning. Pre-match analysis, expert predictions, and social media sentiment often trigger price swings as kickoff nears. Weather conditions, venue factors, and last-minute tactical announcements may also move odds. Early match events like early goals, red cards, or injuries during the opening minutes will drive sharp repricing as traders update their halftime forecasts based on live action. Betting syndicates and sharp money flowing into either outcome can accelerate momentum in either direction.