TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 8:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact final score of the FIFA World Cup match between Uruguay and Cabo Verde. Across Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, the consensus probability for a 2-2 draw stands at 100.0%, with a 2-1 Uruguay victory at 0.0%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA statistics or, if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting sources based on the final result after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time. Watch for the match conclusion on June 21, 2026, which will trigger the resolution window.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Cabo Verde, scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde match originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This event encompasses all possible correct score outcomes for the full 90-minute match plus stoppage time. Resolution is based on the final score recorded at the end of regulation play, not including any extra time or penalty shootout. Each primary rule corresponds to a distinct final scoreline, covering scenarios where Uruguay wins by various margins, Cape Verde wins by various margins, or the teams draw. The resolution mechanism treats each possible score as a separate outcome, with the actual match result determining which single outcome resolves affirmatively.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Cabo Verde, scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde match originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect different risk profiles and trader bases than traditional sportsbooks. Decentralized markets are driven by peer-to-peer trading with no house edge, allowing odds to shift rapidly based on real-time information and sentiment. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set odds to balance liability and profit margins. For the Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde exact score, prediction market prices may diverge from sportsbook lines due to differences in liquidity depth, participant sophistication, and how quickly each venue incorporates breaking news or lineup changes.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Both Polymarket and Kalshi operate independent order books and attract different trader demographics, leading to natural price variation. Polymarket may show stronger conviction around certain scorelines due to higher volume or concentrated positions, while Kalshi might reflect a different consensus. Arbitrage opportunities arise when one platform prices Uruguay 3-1 higher or lower than the other, incentivizing traders to exploit the gap. Differences in platform fees, settlement speed, and user interface can also influence where traders choose to position, causing temporary divergence until market forces realign the odds.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, particularly if Uruguay loses key attacking or defensive players. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any tactical shifts can shift trader sentiment toward higher or lower-scoring outcomes. Weather conditions on match day may favor certain playing styles. Media reports about motivation levels, tournament stakes, or off-field distractions can also influence market pricing. As the match approaches, live odds will react to pre-game commentary, official team sheets, and any last-minute developments that traders believe will affect the final scoreline.