TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 8:05 AM EST
Kalshi
In the Japan J1 League game between Urawa and Fagiano O, bettors will evaluate the extent of the winning margin. The event will confirm whether Urawa achieves a dominant win or if Fagiano O triumphs convincingly. The match is scheduled for September 13, 2026, with only regular time goals determining the result.
The event features four markets focusing on the winning margin in the Urawa vs Fagiano O professional Japan J1 League soccer match. The first two markets resolve to Yes if Urawa wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, respectively. The remaining two markets resolve to Yes if Fagiano O wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, respectively. All markets are evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). If the specified margin condition is satisfied for a market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, these opportunities are usually short-lived as the markets adjust.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Urawa vs Fagiano match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; more buying pressure increases the price, while more selling pressure decreases it. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the spread and capitalizing on price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Urawa vs Fagiano match. The platform will then verify the result against trusted sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Urawa or Fagiano could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also shift the market. Major betting patterns or large volume trades on Kalshi could also indicate a change in expectations, causing the price to move accordingly.