This event group covers a professional J1 League soccer match between Urawa Red Diamonds and FC Mito Holly Hock scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: whether Urawa wins, whether Mito wins, and whether the match ends in a draw, all evaluated on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms apply identical resolution logic: 90-minute regulation time only, same postponement and cancellation rules, and consistent official source hierarchy.
Primary resolution logic:
Official J1 League statistics (jleague.jp); credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome determined by goals scored in first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
Urawa Red Diamonds win market resolves Yes if Urawa scores more goals than Mito; otherwise No
FC Mito Holly Hock win market resolves Yes if Mito scores more goals than Urawa; otherwise No
Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals; resolves No if either team wins
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, draw market resolves Yes and both win markets resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: Draw market resolves Yes (treating cancellation as a tie outcome); both Urawa win and Mito win markets resolve No
Official Statistics Delay: If J1 League does not publish final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible sports reporting sources
Scope Limitation: Only regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts; any goals in extra time or decided by penalties are excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official J1 League statistics are published or credible consensus is established, within approximately 2 hours post-match
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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