TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 9:30 AM EST
Kalshi
The match features two competitive Valorant teams facing off in an esports league. The outcome depends on whether the match extends beyond two and a half maps, reflecting the teams' strategic endurance and performance dynamics.
If over 2.5 maps are played in the China Evolution Series Act 3 2026: Unsettled Resentment vs. TEC Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible total map outcome. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the event's result. As more trades occur, the prices converge, providing a dynamic and real-time estimate of the likelihood of each outcome in the Unsettled Resentment vs. TEC Esports match.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total number of maps played in the Unsettled Resentment vs. TEC Esports match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the tournament organizer, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the actual total maps played.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Unsettled Resentment or TEC Esports could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about map picks or bans, or even reports of internal team conflicts, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants on Kalshi could indicate a shift in market sentiment and trigger further price adjustments.