TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 7:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of the first map in an upcoming Valorant match between Unsettled Resentment and TEC Esports. The event is part of the China Evolution Series Act 3 for the year 2026. The result depends solely on which team secures the victory on the initial map of the match.
If Unsettled Resentment wins map 1 in the China Evolution Series Act 3 2026: Unsettled Resentment vs. TEC Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If TEC Esports wins map 1 in the China Evolution Series Act 3 2026: Unsettled Resentment vs. TEC Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or promotional offers into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life, as information becomes available and traders refine their predictions. Examining these differences can offer insights into potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations, differing from fixed-odds betting found elsewhere. The current implied probabilities are shaped by the ongoing interplay of buyers and sellers.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of Map 1 in the Unsettled Resentment versus TEC Esports match will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by the event organizers and widely available through esports news sources. Traders will be able to view the confirmed outcome on Kalshi following the completion of the map.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Unsettled Resentment or TEC Esports could shift expectations. In-game performance during other matches leading up to this event might also provide valuable insights. Unexpected announcements about map bans or player substitutions could also cause significant price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team's chances of winning Map 1 has the potential to impact this market.