TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
UNLV faces North Texas in a college football contest where the opening touchdown scorer settles the market. Every touchdown counts, no matter the scoring unit, and overtime scores are included. Should neither side find the end zone, a specific market addresses that scenario.
The market resolves based on which team scores the first touchdown in the UNLV vs North Texas college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. All touchdowns, regardless of the scoring method (offensive, defensive, or special teams), count toward the resolution. If the first touchdown occurs in overtime, the market for that team resolves to Yes. If neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime, the market titled No team scores a TD resolves to Yes. Postponements that begin within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time allow the market to remain open and resolve based on the official final result. Games not started within 48 hours of the scheduled time will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when there's significant public interest and trading volume. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate factors not fully captured by traders in this market, such as injury reports or weather conditions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts at prices they deem fair. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring – a higher price indicates a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of a team scoring a touchdown first in the UNLV vs North Texas game. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the UNLV vs North Texas game, as determined by official game statistics. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the UNLV or North Texas teams would likely impact the odds, as would updates on the weather forecast for the game. Changes in public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media sentiment, could also influence trading activity. Finally, any significant shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions in this market, leading to price fluctuations.