TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 3:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total number of 4th down conversions in the UNLV vs. Akron college football game will be over or under 0.5. Currently, the consensus probability favors over 0.5 conversions at 100.0%. This aggregate view combines data from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official NCAA game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 26th, as the final tally of 4th down conversions will determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming college football game between UNLV and Akron, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. This market will resolve to "Akron" if Akron win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between UNLV and Akron, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. This market will resolve to "Akron" if Akron win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective forecasts of informed traders. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more quickly incorporate new information or specialized knowledge about the UNLV vs. Akron game. The efficiency of prediction markets suggests they can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities than traditional betting venues, though both serve different purposes for those interested in this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in trader participation, market design, and available information. Polymarket currently favors UNLV at 100%, while Predict has a different leading outcome. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the UNLV vs. Akron game. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior and price discovery. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both markets address the same underlying event.