TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Air Force Falcons
Volume:
$383,202
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between UNLV Runnin' Rebels and Air Force Falcons scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread variants, and over/under total points wagered across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (UNLV win or Air Force win) resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between the two teams.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The Polymarket contracts (moneyline, spreads, over/unders) all contain coherent, resolvable logic tied to final game score. Kalshi requires immediate clarification or correction before it can be safely settled.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to UNLV Runnin' Rebels if UNLV wins, or Air Force Falcons if Air Force wins, based on final score including overtime. Spread markets (-15.5, -16.5) resolve based on margin of victory thresholds. O/U markets (151.5, 152.5) resolve based on combined team points. Postponement: market remains open. Cancellation: 50-50 split. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure states: If UNLV wins the game, resolve to Yes. If Air Force wins the game, resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state, preventing differentiation between the two teams. Key Quote: Both win conditions resolve to Yes with no No outcome defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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