TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Air Force Falcons
polymarket
kalshi

UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Air Force Falcons

Volume:
$383,202

UNLV

 - Kalshi

UNLV - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UNLV

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$125,350
N/A
N/A
$105,721
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Air Force

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$214,283
N/A
N/A
$169,355
Settled
No
polymarket

UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Air Force Falcons

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,850
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 152.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,879
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 151.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,204
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -16.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,179
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -15.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$456
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between UNLV Runnin' Rebels and Air Force Falcons scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread variants, and over/under total points wagered across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (UNLV win or Air Force win) resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between the two teams.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The Polymarket contracts (moneyline, spreads, over/unders) all contain coherent, resolvable logic tied to final game score. Kalshi requires immediate clarification or correction before it can be safely settled.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to UNLV Runnin' Rebels if UNLV wins, or Air Force Falcons if Air Force wins, based on final score including overtime. Spread markets (-15.5, -16.5) resolve based on margin of victory thresholds. O/U markets (151.5, 152.5) resolve based on combined team points. Postponement: market remains open. Cancellation: 50-50 split. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure states: If UNLV wins the game, resolve to Yes. If Air Force wins the game, resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state, preventing differentiation between the two teams. Key Quote: Both win conditions resolve to Yes with no No outcome defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.