TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 2:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Romania SuperLiga game between Universitatea Craiova CS and FC UTA Arad, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Universitatea Craiova CS" if Universitatea Craiova CS score more goals than FC UTA Arad in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Universitatea Craiova CS and FC UTA Arad score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC UTA Arad" if FC UTA Arad score more goals than Universitatea Craiova CS in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Romania SuperLiga game between Universitatea Craiova CS and FC UTA Arad, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Universitatea Craiova CS" if Universitatea Craiova CS score more goals than FC UTA Arad in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Universitatea Craiova CS and FC UTA Arad score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC UTA Arad" if FC UTA Arad score more goals than Universitatea Craiova CS in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one price outcomes through direct trader participation and real-money commitment. Sportsbook odds typically incorporate sharp professional input and are adjusted frequently to protect the house. Prediction market prices, by contrast, aggregate distributed information from many participants with genuine financial stakes. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value, though sportsbook odds often move faster due to professional monitoring and tighter margins.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares directly against a liquidity pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of shares in the pool and adjusts dynamically with each trade. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls, creating continuous price discovery. Traders profit by buying undervalued outcomes and selling overvalued ones, which naturally drives prices toward their true probability. This mechanism ensures the market remains liquid and responsive to new information throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the second half of the Universitatea Craiova versus FC UTA Arad match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded during the second half only, independent of first-half events. Resolution occurs after the match is complete and the result has been confirmed through standard sports reporting channels. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout once verification is complete and the market settles on the platform.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp price movement. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions can also influence trader sentiment. Late injury reports or unexpected roster decisions frequently cause repricing as new information reaches the market. Betting syndicates and sharp traders may also move prices based on proprietary analysis or early-line positioning. Social media discussion, expert commentary, and shifts in broader market sentiment can amplify volatility. Traders monitoring these signals closely often capture value by positioning ahead of consensus shifts.