TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 12:37 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Universidad Central de Venezuela FC and Santos FC, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Universidad Central de Venezuela FC" if Universidad Central de Venezuela FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Santos FC" if Santos FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Universidad Central de Venezuela FC and Santos FC, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Universidad Central de Venezuela FC" if Universidad Central de Venezuela FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Santos FC" if Santos FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show materially different probabilities than a sportsbook's opening line, particularly if one venue attracts sharper or more specialized bettors. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value, though each reflects its own market's unique composition and risk appetite.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares that represent each outcome, with the share price reflecting the collective probability estimate at any moment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market uses an automated market maker mechanism, meaning prices adjust continuously as traders transact, and larger trades move the odds more sharply than smaller ones. Liquidity pools determine how efficiently orders execute, so periods of high trading volume typically allow tighter spreads and faster price discovery than quieter intervals.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal scorer is verified against credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team records the opening goal, with the result confirmed through official match records or widely recognized sports data sources. Early resolution may occur if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window, in which case the market rules specify how positions are settled.
Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players—can shift odds significantly, as can recent form, head-to-head records, and lineup announcements closer to kickoff. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence scoring likelihood. Betting syndicates and sharp traders often move prices in the final hours before the match, reflecting late information or coordinated positioning. Live trading activity itself can create momentum, with large bets occasionally triggering cascades that move odds independent of external news.