TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Universidad Catolica and Estudiantes La Plata, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regulation time. The markets evaluate different goal-differential thresholds to determine winners based on how convincingly one team defeats the other within the standard 90-minute playtime, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential by which either Universidad Catolica or Estudiantes La Plata wins the match during regulation time—specifically, after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Universidad Catolica winning by more than 2.5 goals, Universidad Catolica winning by more than 1.5 goals, Estudiantes La Plata winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Estudiantes La Plata winning by more than 2.5 goals. If the match concludes within any of these specified margins during regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent and resolve solely based on the final score at the end of regulation time, with no consideration for postseason or tiebreaker events. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction markets often price in nuances that sportsbooks may smooth out, especially for detailed outcomes like this market. Traders can react to shifting momentum, injuries, or tactical updates faster than traditional sportsbooks, which may lag or round probabilities. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment diverges from betting trends.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends solely on the regulation-time goal differential, without overtime or penalty influences. Traders should watch for official match confirmations after the final whistle.
Injuries to key players, tactical changes, or weather disruptions could shift expectations and move this market. Also, any major form swings—wins or losses for either side—may reshape trader sentiment. Keep an eye on pre-match news and in-game updates as they emerge, since they often drive rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.