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$134.1b

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$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

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$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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United States vs. Paraguay - Exact Score
predict
polymarket
kalshi

United States vs. Paraguay - Exact Score

Volume:
$4,793,666

USA wins 4-1

 - Kalshi

USA wins 4-1 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 11:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

USA wins 4-1

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$277,793
N/A
N/A
$126,808
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Exact Score: Any Other Score

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$69,641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Any Other Score

View
N/A
N/A
—
$8,813
$34,166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 2-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$398,395
N/A
N/A
$325,828
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Score: 2-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$276,886
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

USA 2 - 0 PAR

View
N/A
N/A
—
$508
$70,758
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 2-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$334,785
N/A
N/A
$295,118
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Score: 2-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$330,434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

USA 2 - 1 PAR

View
N/A
N/A
—
$516
$108,529
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 3-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$317,244
N/A
N/A
$163,938
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Score: 3-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$253,819
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

USA 3 - 1 PAR

View
N/A
N/A
—
$227
$43,926
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 3-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$197,389
N/A
N/A
$111,959
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Score: 3-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123,703
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

USA 3 - 0 PAR

View
N/A
N/A
—
$136
$20,707
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Score: 1-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154,321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 1-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$105,281
N/A
N/A
$85,278
Settled
No
predict

USA 1 - 0 PAR

View
N/A
N/A
—
$579
$72,353
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 3-2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$139,624
N/A
N/A
$94,519
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Score: 3-2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,494
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

USA 3 - 2 PAR

View
N/A
N/A
—
$126
$6,623
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Score: 1-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118,645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

USA 1 - 1 PAR

View
N/A
N/A
—
$188
$89,294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw 1-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$84,324
N/A
N/A
$71,260
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins 4-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$104,062
N/A
N/A
$87,890
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 58

Intro

This market tracks the exact final score of the United States versus Paraguay FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Across Predict, Polymarket, and Kalshi, the consensus probability for any outcome other than the explicitly listed scores is 99.5%. Resolution will be determined by official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting used as a fallback if official results are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion. Watch for the final whistle on June 12, 2026, which will trigger immediate market settlement based on the regulation-time result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers a curated subset of 24 specific exact scores while Predict and Polymarket provide comprehensive coverage of all possible scores via an explicit catch-all mechanism. This creates incomplete market coverage on Kalshi.Hero tip: If trading on Kalshi, cross-reference the 24 listed outcomes against historical match data and team statistics. Scores outside this list will have no resolution path on Kalshi. On Predict and Polymarket, any unlisted score routes to "Any Other Score," providing complete coverage.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Comprehensive exact score market with 16 explicit outcomes (0-0 through 3-3) plus "Any Other Score" catch-all. Quote: 'If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score."'
  • Polymarket: Comprehensive exact score market with 16 explicit outcomes (0-0 through 3-3) plus "Any Other Score" catch-all. Quote: 'If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score."'
  • Kalshi: Selective market covering 24 specific outcomes only (USA wins 3-0, 4-2, 2-0, 2-1, 3-1, 3-2, 4-0, 4-1, 5-0, 5-1; Paraguay wins 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-1, 3-2, 4-0, 4-1, 4-2; draws 0-0, 1-1, 2-2, 3-3). No catch-all for unlisted scores.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between United States and Paraguay, scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the United States vs. Paraguay match originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

Each market outcome corresponds to a specific final score in the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 12, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. The event encompasses all possible correct score outcomes including draws (0-0, 1-1, 2-2, 3-3), USA victories (1-0 through 5-1), and Paraguay victories (1-0 through 4-2). Each individual score outcome resolves to Yes if that exact score is achieved at the conclusion of regulation time, and No if any other score occurs.

Predict

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between United States and Paraguay, scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the United States vs. Paraguay match originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard aggregates exact-score predictions for the United States versus Paraguay match across Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays real-time odds, consensus probabilities, and trading volume for all possible final scorelines. By tracking activity across multiple prediction platforms simultaneously, the dashboard reveals which exact outcomes attract the most conviction and liquidity. This cross-platform view helps you spot consensus forecasts, identify outlier predictions, and monitor how market sentiment shifts as match day approaches. The aggregated data provides a more complete picture than any single platform alone.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently from traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different risk appetites and participant bases. Prediction market odds for exact scores tend to be more granular and volatile, since they aggregate real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks typically offer tighter odds on popular outcomes and wider spreads on niche scorelines. Comparing the two reveals arbitrage opportunities and shows whether professional sportsbook pricing or decentralized market consensus is more bullish on specific United States versus Paraguay scorelines. Direct comparison requires checking both simultaneously during active trading windows.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Kalshi operate with different liquidity pools, user demographics, and fee structures, which naturally creates price discrepancies for the same exact-score outcome. Polymarket may attract more volume on certain scorelines, pushing odds higher or lower than Kalshi. Timing lags in order-book updates, varying leverage availability, and distinct market-maker participation also contribute to spreads. Additionally, each platform's user base may weight team strength, injury reports, or historical matchups differently. These gaps typically narrow as match day approaches and information becomes more uniform, but they present opportunities for traders monitoring both venues.

Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates to star players, recent form and head-to-head history, and official lineup confirmations closer to match day. Tactical shifts, coaching changes, or surprise squad selections can reshape scoring expectations. Weather conditions and venue factors may influence goal-scoring patterns. Media narratives around tournament stakes, playoff implications, or rivalry intensity also sway market sentiment. Trading volume typically spikes following major news or as the match approaches. Monitor official team communications, injury reports, and expert analysis to anticipate how exact-score odds will shift. Early movers often capture better prices before consensus adjusts.