TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 2:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the United States will be leading Germany at halftime in their FIFA International Friendlies match. On Polymarket, the probability of the United States leading at the 45-minute mark stands at 84.0%. Resolution will be determined by official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting used as a fallback if final data is not published within 24 hours of the match conclusion. Watch the opening 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on June 6, 2026 to see whether the United States can establish an early advantage.
The market resolves at Jun 6, 2026, after the halftime whistle of the United States vs. Germany match. Resolution is determined by the official halftime score: if the United States has more goals than Germany at the end of the first half, the "United States leading" outcome wins. If Germany has more goals or the score is tied, the opposite outcome resolves. The market settles based on the final halftime scoreline reported by the official match officials and broadcast.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff—can shift halftime expectations significantly. Early match momentum, such as a goal in the opening minutes or a red card, will move the market sharply as traders update their halftime forecasts. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form of key players also influence trading. As the match unfolds, live score updates and possession patterns drive real-time repricing. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or unexpected roster announcements can trigger large position adjustments before the market locks at kickoff.