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United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Second Half Result
polymarket
kalshi

What is the second half result of United States vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Volume:
$3,149,217

USA wins 2nd Half

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 10:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

USA wins 2nd Half

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,263,992
N/A
N/A
$1,191,205
Settled
Yes
polymarket

United States

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$115,351
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie 2nd Half

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$422,132
N/A
N/A
$155,852
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bosnia and Herzegovina wins 2nd Half

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$333,464
N/A
N/A
$195,131
Settled
No
polymarket

Bosnia and Herzegovina

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,148
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks which team will score more goals during the second half of the FIFA World Cup match between the United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina. Aggregating data from Polymarket and Kalshi, the consensus probability for the United States to win the second half stands at 55.5%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA statistics or credible reporting consensus if official data is unavailable within 24 hours of match conclusion. Watch for the match kickoff on July 1, 2026, with the second-half outcome window closing at the final whistle of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical second-half goal differential logic with consistent edge-case handling for postponements, cancellations, and source hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from FIFA or the event organizer; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 24 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • United States wins second half if USA scores more goals than Bosnia and Herzegovina in minutes 45-90 plus stoppage time
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina wins second half if Bosnia and Herzegovina scores more goals than USA in minutes 45-90 plus stoppage time
  • Draw if both teams score the same number of goals in the second half
  • First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded from all calculations
  • If match is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed
  • If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, markets resolve to Draw

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played to completion
  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve to Draw
  • Official Statistics Delay: If official governing body statistics are not published within 24 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources
  • Post-Resolution Score Revisions: Any revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for in determining the outcome
Timing: Resolution occurs after the second half of regular play plus stoppage time concludes, using official statistics published by the governing body within 24 hours or credible reporting consensus thereafterOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "United States" if United States score more goals than Bosnia and Herzegovina in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bosnia and Herzegovina" if Bosnia and Herzegovina score more goals than United States in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The second half winner is determined by which team scores more goals during the 45 minutes plus stoppage time period following halftime. USA wins the second half if they score more goals than Bosnia and Herzegovina during this period. Bosnia and Herzegovina wins the second half if they score more goals than USA during this period. A tie result occurs when no goals are scored during the second half or when both teams score an equal number of goals. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed sportsbook lines, meaning odds adjust continuously as traders buy and sell shares. Sportsbooks set margins and limits to manage risk; prediction markets instead reflect pure supply and demand. This often makes prediction markets more efficient at pricing niche or live events, since traders can respond instantly to new information without waiting for a sportsbook to adjust its line. For this market, comparing the implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether one venue is pricing the outcome more bullishly than the other.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi also operate under distinct regulatory frameworks and contract specifications, meaning their exact outcome definitions or settlement timing may vary slightly. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but if one platform has lower volume or slower order flow, the gap can persist. Monitoring both venues helps you spot mispricings and understand which platform's community is more confident in a given outcome.

Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly reprrice this market, especially if a star forward or goalkeeper is ruled out. Live match momentum during the first half will also influence second-half odds; a team trailing badly may see its second-half chances downgraded, while an early lead could boost confidence. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and historical head-to-head patterns in second halves may also sway trader sentiment. Major betting syndicates or sharp money flowing into one side can trigger rapid repricing, so watch for unusual volume spikes as a signal of informed positioning.