TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market group tracks the outcome of the FIFA World Cup match between the United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, including spreads, goal totals, and period-specific results. The consensus probability across Polymarket and Predict shows the United States favored at a -1.5 spread with 100.0% probability on the leading outcome. Resolution will be determined by official statistics published on fifa.com, with credible reporting serving as a secondary source if official data is not available within 2 hours of match conclusion. Watch for the final whistle on July 1 to determine settlement across all related markets in this group.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Polymarket may emphasize spread-based outcomes while Predict focuses on totals or alternative props, creating natural divergence. Timing lags, platform-specific incentives, and varying user bases also mean prices can drift before arbitrageurs close the gap. Monitoring both venues helps you spot temporary mispricings and understand which platform's consensus is leading the market narrative.