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United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Halftime Result
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the halftime result of United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Volume:
$7,714,453

USA wins 1st Half

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 8:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

USA wins 1st Half

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,547,283
N/A
N/A
$1,923,237
Settled
Yes
polymarket

United States

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,037,856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

USA

View
N/A
N/A
—
$78,011
$100,191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie 1st Half

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,068,671
N/A
N/A
$502,440
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$430,138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$43,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bosnia and Herzegovina wins 1st Half

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$987,380
N/A
N/A
$793,483
Settled
No
polymarket

Bosnia and Herzegovina

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$466,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

BIH

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$33,161
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether the United States will be leading Bosnia and Herzegovina at the halftime mark of their FIFA World Cup match. Across Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows a 100.0% probability that the US leads at halftime, with Bosnia and Herzegovina at 0.1%. Resolution will be determined by official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, or by consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 24 hours of the match conclusion. Watch for the final whistle on July 1, 2026, which will mark the end of the 45-minute halftime period plus stoppage time that determines this market's outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Predict and Polymarket explicitly resolve the Draw market to Yes if the game is canceled with no make-up; Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, implying standard No resolution for all outcomes.Hero tip: If trading the Draw market, be aware that Predict and Polymarket offer upside protection (Yes on cancellation) while Kalshi does not. This creates a settlement arbitrage if cancellation occurs. For USA and Bosnia outcomes, all platforms resolve to No on cancellation, so no divergence exists there.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled with no make-up. USA and Bosnia markets resolve No on cancellation. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled with no make-up. USA and Bosnia markets resolve No on cancellation. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'
  • Kalshi: No explicit cancellation clause provided for any outcome. Standard sports market convention implies all outcomes resolve No if game is canceled or not played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Kalshi

The first half winner is determined by which team scores more goals during the initial 45 minutes plus stoppage time period. USA wins the first half if they score more goals than Bosnia and Herzegovina during this period. Bosnia and Herzegovina wins the first half if they score more goals than USA during this period. A tie result occurs when no goals are scored during the first half or when both teams score an equal number of goals. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Frequently asked questions

The US vs Bosnia halftime result market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking real-time consensus on the halftime scoreline between these two teams. Traders on both platforms are pricing the likelihood of a draw, a US lead, or a Bosnia lead at the interval. This cross-platform dashboard surfaces the collective forecast, showing how odds shift as match conditions evolve and new information emerges. By monitoring activity across venues, you can spot where smart money is flowing and identify consensus strength or disagreement between communities.

Prediction markets like those tracked here often reflect real-time trader sentiment and can diverge meaningfully from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, prediction markets are driven by supply and demand among participants with skin in the game. This market may price halftime outcomes differently than a Las Vegas or European book, especially if one venue has sharper or more active trading in the halftime segment. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where informed traders see value.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally creates pricing gaps. Polymarket may see heavier volume from one betting cohort while Predict draws another, leading to temporary mispricings. Latency in information flow, platform-specific UI friction, or varying user bases can also cause odds to diverge. Savvy traders exploit these spreads by arbitraging between venues, though transaction costs and withdrawal delays often limit pure profit capture.

Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff—can shift odds sharply. Early match momentum, possession patterns, and shot quality in the opening minutes will drive real-time repricing as traders update their halftime forecasts. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and any early goals or near-misses will also influence trader conviction. Media narratives and historical head-to-head trends may anchor initial pricing, but live action typically dominates price movement as the match unfolds.