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406,065

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30,522

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2,692

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5

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United States vs. Belgium - More Markets
predict
polymarket

What is the result of United States vs. Belgium?

Volume:
$44,626,546

O/U 2.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 2.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 7, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,041,580
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,857,555
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,002,961
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,794,516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Belgium (-1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,680,174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$992,893
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Belgium (-2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$788,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$490,383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$454,903
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

United States O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$299,977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$239,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Belgium O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$193,385
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$193,105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Belgium O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$170,232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score in First Half

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$150,682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Belgium O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$93,665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

United States 1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$85,020
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$71,153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2nd Half O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$57,334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2nd Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,614
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,683
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,693
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Team to Advance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,213,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

USA

View
N/A
N/A
—
$38,090
$1,150,526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 48

Intro

This market tracks the total goals scored in the United States versus Belgium FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 6, 2026. The over/under 2.5 goals outcome currently shows 100.0% consensus probability across Predict and Polymarket, aggregated from FIFA's official World Cup records. Watch for any schedule changes or weather updates as the match date approaches, since the resolution window closes on July 7, 2026, the day after the fixture.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution logic differs between platforms. Polymarket uses 50-50 split for all canceled matches; Predict uses directional No/Yes outcomes that penalize certain positions.Hero tip: Before July 6, 2026, verify which platform(s) you are trading on. If match is canceled, Polymarket positions settle 50-50 (neutral), but Predict moneyline positions (USA Win, Belgium Win) settle No (loss), while Draw settles Yes (win). Consider consolidating exposure or hedging across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: All spread, over/under, team-scoring, and BTTS markets resolve 50-50 if match is canceled with no makeup. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.'
  • Predict: Moneyline markets (USA Win, Belgium Win) resolve No if canceled; Draw resolves Yes. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (for USA/Belgium) and 'this market will resolve to "Yes"' (for Draw).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 6 at 8:00 PM ET.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, July 6, 2026 between United States and Belgium.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief—the crowd's aggregated conviction about what will happen. This market often moves faster than sportsbook lines during breaking news or injury announcements, and the absence of a house edge means prediction market prices can sometimes diverge sharply from Vegas. Comparing both sources helps you spot inefficiencies and make more informed decisions.

Polymarket and Predict can show different odds on the same match outcome for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Polymarket may emphasize spread betting while Predict focuses on binary outcomes like draws, creating distinct market microstructures. Arbitrage traders help narrow these gaps, but timing lags and platform-specific rules mean price gaps can persist, especially during low-volume windows or rapid market moves.

Key injury announcements, team roster changes, and recent form updates typically drive the biggest price swings in this market. Lineup confirmations released closer to kickoff often trigger sharp moves, especially if a star player is ruled out or unexpectedly available. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and head-to-head tactical breakdowns shared by analysts can also shift trader sentiment. Major news cycles—such as coaching changes or disciplinary suspensions—may accelerate volatility. Monitoring team social media, official league communications, and sports media coverage will help you stay ahead of market repricing.