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United States vs. Belgium - First Team to Score
polymarket
predict

Which team will score first, United States or Belgium?

Volume:
$596,347

Belgium

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 7, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Belgium

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$76,483
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

BEL

View
N/A
N/A
—
$113,361
$44,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

United States

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$196,367
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

USA

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,586
$61,782
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$189,805
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,196
$27,583
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a single prediction market: which team (United States or Belgium) will score first in their upcoming match on July 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, or whether neither team will score during the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves based on the official first goal scored within regulation time only, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria, outcome definitions, and fallback logic with no material divergence.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers; credible reporting consensus if official statistics not published within 2 hours after match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolves to 'United States' if United States scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • Resolves to 'Belgium' if Belgium scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • Resolves to 'Neither' if no team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
  • If match is postponed, market remains open until match completion
  • If match is canceled with no make-up game, market resolves to 'Neither'

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: Market remains open and unresolved until the match is completed on a future date
  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the market resolves to 'Neither'
  • Official Statistics Delay: If the governing body or event organizers do not publish final match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as the resolution source
  • Post-Resolution Score Revision: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome
  • Scoreless Draw in Regulation: If neither team scores during the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Neither' regardless of any goals scored in extra time or penalty shootout
Timing: Resolution occurs within 2 hours after the match conclusion (July 6, 2026 at approximately 10:30 PM ET or later, depending on stoppage time). If official statistics are not published within this window, credible reporting consensus is used immediately thereafter.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between United States and Belgium, scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "United States" if United States are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Belgium" if Belgium are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Predict

In the upcoming match between United States and Belgium, scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "United States" if United States are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Belgium" if Belgium are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed sportsbook lines. Instead of a bookmaker setting odds, traders themselves determine prices through supply and demand. This often results in tighter spreads and faster price discovery than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. However, sportsbooks may offer different liquidity or promotional incentives. Both reflect underlying probability estimates, but prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information more dynamically, making them valuable for comparing against conventional betting markets.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price divergence. Polymarket and Predict may also have distinct user bases with varying risk appetites or information access. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but brief misalignments persist due to withdrawal delays, platform-specific rules, or regional trading patterns. Monitoring both venues helps identify whether price differences reflect genuine market disagreement or temporary friction, making it a useful signal for sophisticated traders.

Team news—injuries to key strikers, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter scoring probabilities. Recent form, head-to-head records, and venue conditions also influence trader sentiment. Major betting syndicates or sharp money flowing into one side may signal confidence and shift prices rapidly. Media coverage, expert predictions, and social media momentum can amplify retail interest. As match day nears, final team sheets and weather updates often trigger last-minute repricing. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders anticipate moves before they're fully reflected in market prices.