TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the exact final score of the FIFA World Cup match between the United States and Belgium scheduled for July 6, 2026. Across Predict and Polymarket, the consensus probability for a 1-3 Belgium victory stands at 84.6%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA statistics and event organizers' final match records, or by consensus of credible reporting sources if official data is unavailable within 2 hours after the match concludes. Watch for the final whistle on July 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET to see whether Belgium's favored scoreline materializes.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between United States and Belgium, scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the United States vs. Belgium match originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between United States and Belgium, scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the United States vs. Belgium match originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets rely on trader supply and demand to establish prices. This market reflects aggregated trader conviction rather than a bookmaker's risk management. Prediction market odds often react faster to breaking news—injuries, lineup changes, or weather—because traders profit directly from accurate pricing. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where consensus diverges and identify potential value opportunities.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups and injury announcements, which shift perceived offensive and defensive strength. Tactical shifts—such as a manager's formation change or substitution strategy—can alter scoring expectations. Recent form, head-to-head history, and tournament momentum all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and venue factors may also impact scoring likelihood. As the match approaches, late-breaking news on player availability or team morale typically triggers repricing. Live trading during the match itself can create sharp moves if early goals or red cards alter the probability of specific final scorelines.