TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 8:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Union Santa Fe and Lanus, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Union Santa Fe vs Lanus Argentina Primera Division soccer match scheduled for August 6, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible, each corresponding to a specific winning margin: Union Santa Fe winning by more than 2.5 goals, Union Santa Fe winning by more than 1.5 goals, Lanus winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Lanus winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The governing rules emphasize that the platform hosting these markets—Kalshi—holds no official affiliation with the league or its entities, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view of team performance and upcoming events compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public sentiment and adjusted margins, prediction markets let participants bet based on their own detailed analysis, potentially offering sharper insights into match dynamics and shifts in form.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the final score of the match, specifically whether Union Santa Fe’s victory margin exceeds 1.5 goals, and will be finalized when official match records are published.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent form leading up to the match could shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, any significant news such as disciplinary actions or weather conditions affecting the game may cause traders to reassess probabilities, influencing price movements on Kalshi as the event approaches.