TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two teams in a league competition. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within this standard match duration.
If Union Berlin and Schalke both score a goal in the Union Berlin vs Schalke Bundesliga match originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams To Score' in the Union Berlin vs Schalke match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective belief of all participants regarding the likelihood of the outcome. The current price indicates the market's assessment of the event's probability.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Union Berlin and Schalke score at least one goal during the match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the 'Both Teams To Score' outcome is considered true or false. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 11, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Union Berlin or Schalke would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the referee or stadium conditions might also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring will likely be reflected in the market price.