TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UNCW Seahawks vs. Elon Phoenix
kalshi
polymarket

UNCW Seahawks vs. Elon Phoenix

Volume:
$173,599

UNC Wilmington

 - Kalshi

UNC Wilmington - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 3, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UNC Wilmington

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$79,862
N/A
N/A
$61,167
Settled
Yes
polymarket

UNCW Seahawks vs. Elon Phoenix

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,078
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,876
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Elon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,971
N/A
N/A
$55,765
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 146.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 145.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$182
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A men's college basketball game between UNC Wilmington Seahawks and Elon Phoenix scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -5.5 and -4.5, and over/under totals at 146.5 and 145.5 points.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Elon win and UNC Wilmington win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This violates basic binary market logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market until Kalshi issues a clarification or correction. The market as written cannot distinguish between the two teams winning. Polymarket's categorical moneyline (resolves to team name) is logically sound and should be used as the reference. All other markets (spreads and totals) on both platforms are consistent in their edge case handling.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Elon wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If UNC Wilmington wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot differentiate between the two mutually exclusive outcomes.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market uses categorical resolution: 'If UNCW Seahawks win, resolves to UNCW Seahawks' and 'If Elon Phoenix win, resolves to Elon Phoenix'. Spread and total markets resolve to named outcomes (team name or Over/Under). Cancellation triggers 50-50 split; postponement keeps market open.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.