TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UNCW Seahawks vs. Elon Phoenix
Volume:
$173,599
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between UNC Wilmington Seahawks and Elon Phoenix scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -5.5 and -4.5, and over/under totals at 146.5 and 145.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Elon win and UNC Wilmington win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This violates basic binary market logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market until Kalshi issues a clarification or correction. The market as written cannot distinguish between the two teams winning. Polymarket's categorical moneyline (resolves to team name) is logically sound and should be used as the reference. All other markets (spreads and totals) on both platforms are consistent in their edge case handling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Elon wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If UNC Wilmington wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot differentiate between the two mutually exclusive outcomes.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market uses categorical resolution: 'If UNCW Seahawks win, resolves to UNCW Seahawks' and 'If Elon Phoenix win, resolves to Elon Phoenix'. Spread and total markets resolve to named outcomes (team name or Over/Under). Cancellation triggers 50-50 split; postponement keeps market open.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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