TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. Longwood Lancers (W)
Volume:
$221,110
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between UNC Asheville Bulldogs and Longwood Lancers scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are attempting to predict the winner of this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Longwood win and UNC Asheville win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version. The market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket offers the only valid binary resolution structure. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether this should resolve Yes if game occurs (any winner) or if there is a data entry error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. UNC Asheville victory resolves to UNC Asheville Bulldogs; Longwood victory resolves to Longwood Lancers. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory resolution criteria. Both Longwood win and UNC Asheville win are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path and no way to distinguish between outcomes. This violates basic binary market logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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