TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 114,532,310
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 114,532,310 - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved May 30, 2026
Closed: May 30, 4:52 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Bad Bunny's album Un Verano Sin Ti will accumulate more than 114.5 million streams on Luminate during the May 22–28 tracking week. On Kalshi, the leading outcome carries 99.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate worldwide stream counts for that specific week as the resolution source. Watch the album's streaming performance during the May 22–28 tracking period to see if it surpasses the 114.5 million threshold.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on Bad Bunny's weekly stream performance. Unlike traditional music industry analyst forecasts, which rely on historical trends and label projections, prediction markets incorporate live trading signals and immediate reactions to streaming updates. This makes market odds a dynamic, crowd-sourced alternative to static analyst estimates for gauging whether Un Verano Sin Ti will cross the 114,532,310-stream threshold.
On Kalshi, the Un Verano Sin Ti streams up this week contract is priced as a binary outcome: will the album exceed 114,532,310 streams on Luminate from May 22–28? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price reflects the implied probability of the outcome occurring. As new streaming data emerges and market participants update their views, the contract price adjusts in real time, allowing traders to enter or exit positions throughout the tracking week.
Key catalysts include Bad Bunny's social media promotion, playlist placements on major streaming platforms, radio airplay, and any surprise releases or collaborations. Chart performance and industry buzz will influence trader expectations. Real-time streaming data leaks or unofficial reports from music tracking services may also shift market prices as traders adjust their probability estimates. Fan engagement, concert announcements, and media coverage throughout the week could all impact whether the album reaches the 114,532,310-stream target.
