TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Umraniye vs Bolu
kalshi

Umraniye vs Bolu

Oct 9, 2026, 8:35 PM EST - Oct 14, 2026, 1:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$694,259
Volume 24h:
$693,754N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$190,499
41,127%

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 14, 2026

Tie is the result

40%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 43¢ buys you 233 shares | Odds: 40% Total Payout: $233 | Net Profit: $133 Multiplier: 2.33x | ROI: 133% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

Trade
40%
19%
Yes 43¢No 60¢
3¢
N/A
$162,999
62,646%
N/A
$49,719
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Umraniye

27%
40%
Yes 28¢No 73¢
1¢
N/A
$222,191
367,546%
N/A
$56,638
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Bolu

24%
11%
Yes 27¢No 76¢
3¢
N/A
$309,069
166,969%
N/A
$84,142
0d 0h 0m
active
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether the Umraniye vs Bolu professional TFF 1. Lig soccer game will end in a tie. Currently, Kalshi gives a 31.0% probability to a tie, with Umraniye winning assessed at 28.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official game results. Traders should particularly watch for any updates regarding the scheduled match date of October 14, 2026, as this date represents the end of the betting period and the potential for resolution if the game proceeds as planned.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Umraniye vs Bolu professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Umraniye wins, the 'Umraniye' market resolves to Yes. If Bolu wins, the 'Bolu' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price according to defined procedures. The markets are independent of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Umraniye vs Bolu match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, volume is $693,092 and total volume to date is $694,259. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, giving you a sense of where the crowd stands on the likely result. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment as traders buy and sell contracts related to this sporting event. This allows for a dynamic assessment of expectations surrounding the match.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants. If you find significant differences between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it might signal an opportunity to exploit a mispricing, or it could indicate that the market collectively holds a different belief about the outcome of the Umraniye vs Bolu match.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Umraniye vs Bolu match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements from either team, such as changes in coaching staff or strategic shifts, could also cause significant price fluctuations. Furthermore, public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can sometimes influence the market, even if it doesn't directly impact the teams' performance. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.