TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 8:04 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between UMF Stjarnan and Ilves Tampere, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "UMF Stjarnan" if UMF Stjarnan score more goals than Ilves Tampere in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if UMF Stjarnan and Ilves Tampere score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ilves Tampere" if Ilves Tampere score more goals than UMF Stjarnan in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between UMF Stjarnan and Ilves Tampere, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "UMF Stjarnan" if UMF Stjarnan score more goals than Ilves Tampere in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if UMF Stjarnan and Ilves Tampere score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ilves Tampere" if Ilves Tampere score more goals than UMF Stjarnan in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market's odds may move faster or slower than sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where informed traders see value relative to conventional betting markets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the price of each reflects the collective belief of all participants. As traders buy or sell, the cost per share adjusts algorithmically, ensuring the market remains responsive to new information and sentiment shifts throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the second-half result of the match is finalized and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect what actually occurred during the second half of play—whether one team scored more goals, both teams scored equally, or neither scored. Resolution happens after the match concludes and the result is confirmed through official reporting.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff. Early match events—goals, red cards, or momentum swings in the first half—often trigger sharp repricing as traders update their expectations for the second-half outcome. Weather conditions, recent form, and head-to-head history may also influence trading activity. As the match progresses, live developments will drive continuous price adjustments reflecting real-time confidence in each possible result.