TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 7:01 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between UMF Stjarnan and Ilves Tampere, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the UMF Stjarnan vs. Ilves Tampere match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between UMF Stjarnan and Ilves Tampere, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the UMF Stjarnan vs. Ilves Tampere match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and generate profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market aggregates the collective forecast of participants who have real capital at stake, which can sometimes reveal insights that traditional sportsbooks have not yet fully priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where consensus differs and which exact score outcomes may be undervalued or overvalued relative to conventional betting markets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds for each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Participants buy and sell shares corresponding to specific scorelines, and the price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices adjust dynamically. The top outcome currently reflects trader conviction, and the spread between competing scorelines shows where disagreement is greatest.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation play. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution is straightforward and objective, tied directly to the official match result reported by the league or governing body.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter the probability of specific scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence trader expectations. Weather conditions on match day may favor one side's style of play. As the fixture draws closer, late-breaking developments such as suspensions or unexpected roster moves can trigger sharp repricing. Trading volume and media attention often spike in the final hours before kickoff, reflecting last-minute conviction shifts among participants.