TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 9:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a college soccer match between two teams, determining whether either team wins or the game ends evenly based on regulation time. The resolution depends solely on the result after the standard playing duration, excluding any extended periods. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation will lead to a fair price adjustment.
The event determines the winner of a NCAA Mens Soccer game between UMBC Retrievers and Presbyterian, scheduled for August 28, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for UMBC Retrievers, a win for Presbyterian, or a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The outcome is strictly based on regulation time, and the markets are not connected to or endorsed by the governing league.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique betting dynamics of Kalshi. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader public betting trends and sharp money, traders on Kalshi set prices through direct investment, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds offers a view into how retail and institutional perspectives diverge on the contest.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game conclusion, and once the final score is reported, the market will close and settle according to the rules set by Kalshi.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or significant performance shifts can all impact this market. Weather conditions, playoff implications, and media narratives leading up to the game may also cause price swings. Traders will watch practice reports, poll updates, and any breaking news that could affect the competitiveness of the contest, influencing how odds evolve before Aug 29, 2026.