TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UMBC Retrievers vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks
Volume:
$394,423
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between UMBC Retrievers and Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets include moneyline (winner), multiple point spread variants, and over/under total points wagering across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both a UMBC win and a UMass Lowell win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is broken and creates unresolvable ambiguity. Trade Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and totals instead, which have clear, mutually exclusive outcomes and consistent edge-case handling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Six distinct markets with clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths: moneyline (UMBC or UMass Lowell), three spread variants (-1.5, -2.5), and two over/under totals (147.5, 148.5). All resolve on final score including overtime. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
- Kalshi: Single market with contradictory logic: 'If UMBC wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If UMass Lowell wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes; the market is logically impossible to adjudicate.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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