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UMBC Retrievers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd (W)
kalshi
polymarket

UMBC Retrievers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd (W)

Volume:
$359,745

Marshall

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 23, 9:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marshall

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$146,417
N/A
N/A
$98,850
Settled
Yes
polymarket

UMBC Retrievers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UMBC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$213,328
N/A
N/A
$124,250
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event is for the WBB game between UMBC Retrievers and Marshall Thundering Herd on March 23 at 6:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves YES for either outcome (Marshall OR UMBC wins), making the market logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to a single winner (UMBC Retrievers or Marshall Thundering Herd). This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. Kalshi's rules state the market resolves YES if Marshall wins AND YES if UMBC wins — meaning every possible outcome resolves YES, which violates basic binary market logic. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable version and should be treated as the authoritative settlement source.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Resolves to exactly one outcome — UMBC Retrievers if UMBC wins, Marshall Thundering Herd if Marshall wins. Includes postponement and cancellation rules. 'If the UMBC Retrievers win, the market will resolve to UMBC Retrievers. If the Marshall Thundering Herd win, the market will resolve to Marshall Thundering Herd.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier (logical failure): States 'If Marshall wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If UMBC wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a tautology where all outcomes resolve YES. 'If Marshall wins the UMBC at Marshall women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If UMBC wins the UMBC at Marshall women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.