TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UMBC Retrievers vs. Albany Great Danes (W)
Volume:
$12,957
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between UMBC Retrievers and Albany Great Danes scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both UMBC winning and Albany winning are stated to resolve to 'Yes', making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating irreconcilable settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version until the resolution logic is corrected. Polymarket's binary outcome structure is logically sound and should be the reference market. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether this should be a Yes/No market (e.g., 'Will UMBC win?') or if the resolution criteria were incorrectly documented.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive resolution paths. UMBC win resolves to 'UMBC Retrievers', Albany win resolves to 'Albany Great Danes'. Includes edge case handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective resolution logic with logical contradiction. States both 'If UMBC wins... resolves to Yes' and 'If University at Albany wins... resolves to Yes', creating impossible dual-resolution scenario. No edge case provisions documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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