TOTAL VOLUME:
$143.5b
24H VOL:
$195,145,316
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,692,168,434
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,731,064,451
482,647
Markets across
36,631
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,924
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Sep 27, 12:19 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether a pick-six—an interception returned for a touchdown—will be scored during the UMass versus Sacramento State college football game. Currently, the consensus probability of a pick-six being scored is 100.0%. This forecast aggregates data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the game results reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 26th, as the outcome will determine resolution and is estimated to be finalized by September 27th, 2026.
In the upcoming college football game between UMass and Sacramento State, scheduled for September 26 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game. This market will resolve to "Sacramento State" if Sacramento State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the UMass vs Sacramento St. college football game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated view of potential outcomes than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven purely by participant beliefs. This can lead to differences, especially as new information emerges. The collective intelligence of traders in this market may identify probabilities that differ from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the likely result of the UMass vs. Sacramento State game.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could impact perceptions of each team’s chances. Significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could also drive price movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or news coverage, may also play a role, particularly if it suggests a shift in expectations for the UMass vs. Sacramento State game. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.