TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 8:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a college men's soccer match between two teams. Bettors can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw based on the full regulation time result.
Markets resolve based on the official result of the NCAA men's soccer match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team wins, while a tie market resolves if neither team secures a victory within regulation. If the match is canceled or postponed by more than 48 hours, all markets settle at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The rules explicitly clarify that only regulation time results count, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks.
On sportsbooks, the latest lines show a tight contest between the teams, with the spread reflecting minimal separation. In contrast, this market currently has a different implied probability distribution, showing that traders see a distinct favorite or a higher chance of a tie. The difference can be attributed to various factors, including trader sentiment, additional market depth, and the unique betting mechanics of prediction markets. These variations often arise because prediction markets allow for more nuanced outcomes and can react quickly to new information or shifts in public opinion.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game records, and the market settles based on who wins or if the contest ends in a tie, closing the betting period and finalizing payouts for all participants.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategies, or significant performance shifts leading up to the game could all impact this market. Additionally, any notable changes in team rankings, recent game outcomes, or even weather conditions on the day of the match may influence trader sentiment. Media coverage highlighting strengths or weaknesses of either team can also cause fluctuations. As we approach Aug 28, 2026, any last-minute updates or announcements will likely have the most immediate effect on market prices.