TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 8:54 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether a specific fighter will win by knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification within a particular round of an upcoming mixed martial arts bout. The outcomes hinge on the method and timing of victory during the scheduled fight.
The markets cover all possible ways the Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Yadong Song UFC Fight Night bout scheduled for August 29, 2026, can conclude within each of the five rounds, as well as through a decision, draw, or no contest. For each round (1 through 5), a market resolves to Yes if either fighter achieves a win via KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in that specific round. An additional market resolves to Yes if the fight ends by decision, draw, or no contest at any point, including if a technical decision occurs. Across all markets, a technical decision is explicitly treated as a decision outcome and does not count as a round-specific win. These rules ensure clarity in determining resolution based on the exact manner and round of the fight's conclusion, without ambiguity around decision types.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact round of victory will be determined by the official result of the fight, and the market will close based on that verified data at the time.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates, training camp performance reports, changes in fighting strategies, or any media appearances where the fighters discuss their plans. Media coverage, betting trends, and analyst predictions leading up to the event can also influence trader sentiment and drive price adjustments on Kalshi as the fight approaches.