TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 8:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether a specific mixed martial arts bout scheduled for August 29, 2026, concludes within a certain number of rounds. The outcome depends on the actual duration of the fight, with different markets reflecting various round thresholds. It reflects the unpredictable nature of combat sports, where fights can end abruptly due to knockouts, submissions, or other in-fight developments.
The markets collectively assess whether the Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Yadong Song UFC Fight Night bout, scheduled for August 29, 2026, concludes prior to specified round thresholds (rounds 2, 3, 4, and 5). Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the fight ends before the respective round begins. These markets operate independently, allowing participants to evaluate the likelihood of the fight's duration falling within various round limits. All markets include a secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners. The structure enables bettors to hedge or speculate on different possible timelines for the fight’s conclusion, depending on their assessment of the fighters' styles, strategies, and potential for rapid resolution.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the fight ends before the third round, as defined by official records from sanctioned boxing or MMA authorities. Once the bout concludes, the market settles automatically based on publicly available fight statistics and results.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-fight press conferences, injury updates, training camp performance leaks, and betting volume surges from high-profile traders. Any announcement affecting fight integrity — such as rule changes, judges’ assignments, or last-minute substitutions — may also cause rapid price swings. Media coverage highlighting either fighter’s advantages or vulnerabilities can influence trader sentiment in the closing days before Aug 29, 2026.