TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Umar Nurmagomedov vs Yadong Song: Method of Victory
kalshi

What is the method of victory for Umar Nurmagomedov vs Yadong Song?

Volume:
$1,056,496

Yadong Song by KO/TKO/DQ

 - Kalshi

Yadong Song by KO/TKO/DQ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 8:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yadong Song by KO/TKO/DQ

View
100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$255,794
N/A
N/A
$224,062
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Umar Nurmagomedov by Submission

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$233,932
N/A
N/A
$226,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Umar Nurmagomedov by Decision

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$153,378
N/A
N/A
$135,347
Settled
No
kalshi

Umar Nurmagomedov by KO/TKO/DQ

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$142,970
N/A
N/A
$133,710
Settled
No
kalshi

Yadong Song by Decision

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$126,222
N/A
N/A
$123,305
Settled
No
kalshi

Yadong Song by Submission

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$122,769
N/A
N/A
$120,309
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw/No Contest

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,430
N/A
N/A
$21,354
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks how the upcoming UFC Fight Night bout between Umar Nurmagomedov and Yadong Song will conclude. On Kalshi, Umar Nurmagomedov wins by Decision sits at 60.0%, while Umar Nurmagomedov wins by Submission is at 17.0%. The outcome will be resolved based on the official fight result. Watch for the fight's conclusion on August 29, 2026, to determine the market's settlement.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the specific method of victory or draw in the UFC Fight Night bout between Umar Nurmagomedov and Yadong Song scheduled for August 29, 2026. If Nurmagomedov wins by knockout/tKO, technical knockout, disqualification, submission, or decision, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Song wins by any of these methods, his respective market resolves to Yes. Should the fight end in a draw or no contest, the designated market resolves to Yes. Each rule defines a distinct path to resolution, ensuring comprehensive coverage of all possible fight conclusions as per standard UFC judging and officiating protocols. The markets operate independently, with each outcome scenario clearly specified to determine resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Nurmagomedov victory method market on Kalshi tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume for this specific event outcome. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different victory methods, with total volume at $1,056,496 and recent 24-hour volume of $1,016,711. This gives you a live view of market sentiment and betting patterns as the fight approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result declared by athletic commissions or widely trusted news outlets will set the final market value, determining which victory method occurred. Timing aligns with the fight’s conclusion, ensuring a prompt and transparent resolution.

Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute fighter injuries, changes to training camp reports, pre-fight media events, and betting volume spikes from large traders. Updates on weight cuts, strategy announcements, or even geopolitical factors affecting fight logistics may also influence pricing. As the event nears, any development that alters the perceived likelihood of each victory method can cause rapid market adjustments.