TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 8:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks how the scheduled UFC fight between Umar Nurmagomedov and Yadong Song concludes. It covers all possible outcomes including knockout, submission, decision, or a draw/no contest. The result depends entirely on the official end result declared by UFC officials after the fight.
The market resolves to Yes if the UFC fight between Umar Nurmagomedov and Yadong Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, concludes via any of the four possible methods: KO/TKO/DQ, Submission, Decision, or Draw/No Contest. Each market outcome corresponds to one of these finish types. Regardless of which fighter achieves the result or which specific market is triggered, the overall market resolves positively if the bout ends in any of the defined manners. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the UFC and that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique trading dynamics and the ability for continuous price adjustment. Traders can react instantly to new data, which may cause the odds to shift more rapidly than standard sportsbook offerings. This allows for a more granular view of market expectations for the fight's conclusion.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result will determine which finish type — whether knockout, submission, or decision — is the correct settlement, closing all positions accordingly.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-fight media appearances, training updates, injury reports, and changes in betting trends. Any development affecting the perceived advantage of either fighter — such as a dominant sparring session or strategy reveal — may cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as traders react.