TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming K-League game between Ulsan HD FC and Incheon United FC, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming K-League game between Ulsan HD FC and Incheon United FC, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader belief and real-money conviction. For this match, comparing Polymarket's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value or where sharp money disagrees. Prediction markets tend to update faster on breaking news, whereas sportsbooks may lag slightly. Both venues offer useful signals, but prediction markets excel at capturing distributed knowledge from many independent traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) model where traders deposit collateral and receive shares representing each possible exact score. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome is determined by the ratio of shares outstanding and total liquidity in the pool. As traders buy shares for a particular scoreline, its price rises; selling pushes it lower. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays liquid and responsive to new information. The sum of all outcome prices equals one dollar, so the displayed percentages always reflect a complete probability distribution across all possible final scores.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the Ulsan HD versus Incheon United match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at full-time, with no extra time or penalty shootout factored in unless the competition format explicitly requires them. Resolution is automatic once the score is confirmed through official league records or reputable sports data providers. Traders should monitor the match closely, as any late goals or unusual circumstances will be reflected in the final verified result.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly shift implied probabilities for specific scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence trader expectations. Weather conditions on match day may favor certain playing styles or affect goal-scoring likelihood. Pre-match betting action on external sportsbooks can also signal sharp money positioning. Live updates during the game itself will trigger rapid repricing as goals are scored and the match unfolds. Monitor official team announcements and credible sports media for any developments that could alter the likelihood of particular final scores.