TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC?

Volume:
$1,146,400

Incheon United FC

 - Polymarket

Incheon United FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 21, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 6:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Incheon United FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$287,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Incheon Utd

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$114,040
N/A
N/A
$59,253
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ulsan HD FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$443,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ulsan HD

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$104,375
N/A
N/A
$72,988
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$146,958
N/A
N/A
$59,451
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Incheon United FC will win the K League 1 soccer match against Ulsan HD FC scheduled for July 21, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for Incheon United FC winning is 100.0%, with Ulsan HD FC at 0.1%. Data is aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution sourced from https://www.kleague.com/. Watch the match result on July 21, 2026, to confirm the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure divergence: Polymarket uses three separate binary markets while Kalshi uses a single ternary market. Both platforms agree on the underlying match outcome criteria (90 minutes plus stoppage time, K League 1 official statistics) but differ in how outcomes are packaged and resolved.Hero tip: Understand that Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive and only one can resolve Yes. Kalshi's single market will always resolve Yes because one of the three outcomes must occur. These are not equivalent betting structures - Polymarket offers true binary risk while Kalshi's ternary design guarantees resolution to Yes. Arbitrage opportunities may exist if odds across platforms misprice the mutual exclusivity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Ulsan HD win - Yes if Ulsan wins, No otherwise; (2) Draw - Yes if draw, Yes if canceled with no makeup, No otherwise; (3) Incheon win - Yes if Incheon wins, No otherwise. Resolution source: kleague.com official statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Postponed matches remain open until completion.
  • Kalshi: Single ternary market with three resolution paths: Yes if Ulsan HD wins after 90+stoppage, Yes if Incheon Utd wins after 90+stoppage, or Yes if Tie result after 90+stoppage. Market always resolves Yes (one outcome must occur). No explicit cancellation or postponement rules stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for Tuesday, July 21, 2026 between Ulsan HD FC and Incheon United FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Ulsan HD vs Incheon Utd K League 1 match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties. Each team outcome resolves to Yes if that team wins the match. A tied result resolves the Tie market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original July 21, 2026 date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Ulsan HD vs. Incheon United match. Traders on both venues are pricing the outcome of this fixture, with combined volume reflecting real-time consensus on match results. The cross-platform view lets you compare how each marketplace is valuing the same event, revealing where agreement exists and where divergence emerges. This multi-venue approach captures broader market sentiment than any single platform alone, giving you a fuller picture of how professional traders and casual predictors collectively assess the teams' chances.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often incorporating a margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on continuous trader participation—prices emerge from buy and sell orders placed by participants who believe the current odds misvalue the outcome. This market-driven pricing can reflect real-time information faster than sportsbooks update their lines. Both venues ultimately aim to forecast the same event, but prediction markets often reveal sharper, more responsive pricing because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings instantly.

Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or managerial decisions—can shift odds significantly. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any off-field controversies also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day may favor one side's playing style. Transfer activity or unexpected roster moves in the weeks before kickoff can reshape perceived strength. Social media momentum and expert commentary sometimes trigger rapid repricing, especially if respected analysts shift their public stance. Additionally, betting syndicate activity or large trades on either platform can cascade into price movements as other traders react to visible order flow. Monitor team social channels and sports news outlets for the most current developments.