TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 7:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the halftime result of a soccer match between Ulsan HD FC and FC Anyang in the K League 1. Markets track whether Ulsan HD FC leads, FC Anyang leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming K-League game between Ulsan HD FC and FC Anyang, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution is determined by the first-half result of the Bucheon vs FC Anyang K League 1 match originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, evaluated after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. Bucheon's outcome resolves to Yes if they score more goals than FC Anyang; FC Anyang's outcome resolves to Yes if they score more goals than Bucheon. The Tie outcome resolves to Yes if both teams score an equal number of goals or if no goals are scored during the first half. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prediction markets on different platforms can diverge due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi attract traders with different risk appetites and information sets, leading to temporary price gaps. Platform-specific rules around market hours, settlement timing, and dispute resolution also influence how traders price uncertainty. Lower volume on one venue may result in wider bid-ask spreads and less efficient pricing. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but friction costs and platform withdrawal delays can prevent full convergence. Monitoring both venues helps traders identify mispricings and execute more informed trades on this market.
Key catalysts include team news such as injury announcements, lineup confirmations, and tactical shifts disclosed by either club. Weather conditions at the stadium—rain, extreme heat, or wind—can significantly impact play style and scoring patterns. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any off-field controversies may shift trader sentiment. As kickoff approaches, early match action and visible momentum swings often trigger repricing on both Polymarket and Kalshi. Major betting syndicates or sharp money moving into one outcome can also signal new information. Traders should monitor official team social media and sports news outlets for real-time updates that could influence halftime expectations.