TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ukraine vs. Greece
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Ukraine vs Greece?

Volume:
$273,344

Ukraine

 - Kalshi

Ukraine - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 2:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ukraine

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$107,170
N/A
N/A
$61,745
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ukraine vs. Greece

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Greece

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$143,407
N/A
N/A
$59,243
Settled
No
polymarket

Greece (-7.5)

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$507
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 163.5

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks the winner of the men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Ukraine and Greece scheduled for August 28, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for Ukraine versus Greece stands at 100.0%, drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution governed by official results at fiba.basketball. The outcome will be confirmed following the game’s conclusion on August 28, 2026, so keep an eye on that date to see which team advances in the qualifiers.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure mismatch between binary outcome (Polymarket) and Yes/No outcome (Kalshi)Hero tip: Traders should be cautious about the structural difference in resolution logic. Polymarket's market accounts for game postponement/cancellation scenarios, while Kalshi's market appears to resolve to Yes regardless of game completion status if either team wins.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Ukraine or Greece depending on the winner, with specific handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (resolves 50-50).
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Ukraine or Greece wins, with no explicit handling for postponement/cancellation visible in the provided description.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for August 28 at 6:00AM ET: If the Ukraine win, the market will resolve to "Ukraine". If the Greece win, the market will resolve to "Greece". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the Greece vs Ukraine men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for Aug 28, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks the Ukraine vs. Greece football match odds across multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes. It aggregates volume and recent trading trends from venues like Polymarket and Kalshi, giving you a consensus view of market sentiment. With total volume at $273,344 and 24-hour volume of $258,692, it reflects real-time shifts in expectations for this upcoming contest. The dashboard updates continuously, so you can monitor how odds evolve as new information emerges ahead of the match.

Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different participant dynamics and scoring approaches. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors or adjustments, prediction markets let traders price outcomes directly based on their own research and sentiment. This can lead to sharper or more volatile probabilities, especially when trading volume hits $273,344. For bettors, comparing both sources helps identify potential value gaps.

Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or shifting team form could sway this market as the match nears. Media coverage and expert analysis often trigger short-term volatility, especially when trading volume rises toward $273,344. Political or logistical updates affecting venue safety may also influence probabilities, so keeping an eye on news feeds and team announcements is essential for tracking shifts.