TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Ukraine vs. Georgia
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Ukraine vs. Georgia?

Volume:
$56,162

Ukraine

 - Kalshi

Ukraine - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 1:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ukraine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34,549
N/A
N/A
$22,111
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ukraine vs. Georgia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Georgia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,097
N/A
N/A
$9,833
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Ukraine and Georgia scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 11:30 AM EDT. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the binary outcome of this professional matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Ukraine win and Georgia win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket provides clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether the second outcome should resolve to No. Polymarket is the only clearly resolvable market in this group. Request official clarification from Kalshi before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive logic: Ukraine win resolves to Ukraine, Georgia win resolves to Georgia. Handles postponement by keeping market open and cancellation by 50-50 split. Fully resolvable.
  • Kalshi: Market states both Ukraine win and Georgia win resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No resolution path for Georgia victory is specified. Market is unresolvable as currently written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for July 2 at 11:30AM ET: If the Ukraine win, the market will resolve to "Ukraine". If the Georgia win, the market will resolve to "Georgia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the winner of the Georgia vs Ukraine professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 11:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two weeks. Should the game be cancelled and not played, or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin; prediction markets rely on decentralized trader consensus. This market reflects real-time belief among thousands of participants with financial skin in the game, often capturing edge faster than fixed sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds tend to be sharper on niche or long-dated events because traders can adjust positions continuously. Compare this market's odds to your preferred sportsbook to identify value gaps, but remember prediction markets settle on verified outcomes, not betting rules.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures. Polymarket may have deeper order books or more active arbitrageurs, while Kalshi draws users with distinct risk appetites or regional preferences. Contract design also matters: subtle differences in resolution language or settlement timing can create pricing gaps. Lower liquidity on one venue can amplify short-term volatility. Savvy traders monitor both platforms to spot mispricings and execute cross-platform arbitrage, gradually narrowing spreads as capital flows to the better price.

Key injury announcements, roster changes, or coaching decisions can swing odds sharply. Pre-match analysis, expert commentary, and betting syndicates entering or exiting positions drive volume and repricing. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent team form all influence trader conviction. Major news cycles or geopolitical developments may also affect sentiment indirectly. Monitor social media, sports news outlets, and platform activity for sudden shifts. Large trades or unusual volume spikes often signal informed traders positioning ahead of catalysts, making them early signals of potential market moves before the event unfolds.