TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 3:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Ukraine wins by 2 or more goals against Poland during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for May 31, 2026, 15:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that Ukraine wins by exactly 2 goals or more. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the implied likelihood. As match details emerge—team lineups, injury reports, recent form—the price adjusts to reflect new information. The spread between bid and ask prices shows liquidity; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and trading activity around this specific Ukraine vs Poland scoreline.
This market resolves at Jun 1, 2026, following the conclusion of the Ukraine vs Poland match. The outcome is determined by the final score: if Ukraine wins by a margin of 2 or more goals, the market resolves to yes; otherwise, it resolves to no. Resolution occurs after official match records are confirmed and any applicable reviews or appeals are completed. Traders should monitor official match reports and governing body announcements to confirm the final result.
Key catalysts include team announcements of injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes for either side. Recent form updates—wins, losses, or draws in qualifying or friendlies—can shift confidence in Ukraine's attacking strength or Poland's defensive resilience. Betting market moves at sportsbooks may signal sharp money entering the prediction market. Pre-match press conferences, tactical previews, and expert analysis can also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions, venue factors, and historical head-to-head records may prompt repricing as the match date approaches and new information surfaces.