TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers
Volume:
$2,554,618
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between UIC Flames and Murray State Racers scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-1.5 for both teams), and total points over/under at multiple thresholds (147.5, 148.5, 149.5, 150.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Murray St. win and UIC win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary Yes/No framework. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as specified.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and totals provide clear, logically consistent resolution criteria. Request Kalshi clarification on whether the market should resolve Yes if the game is completed (any winner) or if this is a data entry error. Until resolved, treat Kalshi as unreliable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to UIC Flames if UIC wins, or Murray State Racers if Murray State wins. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory (2+ points). Over/unders resolve based on combined total points. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Source: NCAA.com. Final score includes overtime.
- Kalshi: Binary market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Murray St. wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If UIC wins... resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility—both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both be Yes in a binary market. No clear resolution path for either outcome or edge cases (postponement, cancellation).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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