This event group covers a women's college basketball game between UIC Flames and Indiana State Sycamores scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final outcome of this single game.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (UIC win and Indiana State win) are programmed to resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi's version entirely. The market logic is broken - it will resolve to Yes regardless of which team wins, making it impossible to profit from correct predictions. Trade only on Polymarket, which has proper binary resolution logic.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Proper binary outcome structure: UIC victory resolves to 'UIC Flames', Indiana State victory resolves to 'Indiana State Sycamores'. Cancellation without makeup game triggers 50-50 split. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Critical logical error: Both UIC win and Indiana State win conditions are mapped to Yes resolution. This creates a tautology where the market resolves Yes regardless of actual game outcome, making it impossible to differentiate between the two teams' victories.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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