TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 8:00 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Uganda wins by 2 or more goals against Madagascar during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 8, 2026, 12:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 8, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds on Limitless reflect real-time consensus from traders and often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to their distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set fixed lines and adjust them to manage liability, while prediction markets allow continuous price discovery through supply and demand. The Uganda vs Madagascar 2-goal margin market may show higher or lower implied probability than sportsbooks depending on trader conviction, information asymmetry, and liquidity depth. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning relative to bookmaker pricing.
The Uganda to win by 2 or more goals vs Madagascar market resolves on Jun 9, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final match result: if Uganda defeats Madagascar by exactly 2 goals or more, the outcome resolves affirmatively; any other result (Uganda win by 1, draw, or loss) resolves negatively. The official score from the governing football body is used to settle all positions. Traders should monitor team news, lineups, and venue conditions in the days leading up to kickoff, as these factors significantly influence the likelihood of a multi-goal margin.
Key catalysts for this market include team injury announcements, especially to star strikers or defensive players on either side. Lineup confirmations closer to match day will shift odds as traders gain clarity on starting formations and tactical setups. Recent form and head-to-head history between Uganda and Madagascar can trigger repricing if new data emerges. Weather conditions at the venue may favor attacking or defensive play. Media reports on team morale, coaching changes, or external pressures can also move sentiment. Trading volume typically spikes in the final hours before kickoff as late money enters the market.