TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 8:00 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Uganda and Madagascar (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 8, 2026, 12:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 8, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Several factors could shift the market probability for this outcome. Confirmed team lineups and starting XI announcements may reveal defensive or aggressive formations that influence expected card counts. Referee assignment details matter significantly, as different officials have varying card-issuance tendencies. Recent disciplinary records of key players—suspensions, accumulated yellows, or red-card history—can signal higher card risk. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and match importance also play roles; high-stakes or heated rivalries typically produce more cards. News of injuries to key defenders or tactical changes by either team could reshape expectations about physical play and card accumulation before kickoff.