TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UFL Championship Winner
kalshi

UFL Championship Winner

Volume:
$52,368

Louisville Kings

 - Kalshi

Louisville Kings - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 7:22 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Louisville Kings

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,383
N/A
N/A
$12,251
Settled
Yes
kalshi

DC Defenders

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,609
N/A
N/A
$10,156
Settled
No
kalshi

St. Louis Battlehawks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,288
N/A
N/A
$2,576
Settled
No
kalshi

Orlando Storm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,044
N/A
N/A
$3,115
Settled
No
kalshi

Birmingham Stallions

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,789
N/A
N/A
$2,654
Settled
No
kalshi

Dallas Renegades

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,028
N/A
N/A
$860
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston Gamblers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
$125
Settled
No
kalshi

Columbus Aviators

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
$102
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Intro

This market tracks which franchise will win the 2026 UFL Championship. On Kalshi, the St. Louis Battlehawks hold the leading probability at 36.0%, while the Orlando Storm are positioned at 29.0%. The market resolves based on official confirmation of the 2026 UFL Championship winner. Watch the regular season performance and playoff seeding through mid-June 2026, as team momentum and injury status heading into the championship will be critical indicators of title contention.

Kalshi

If Birmingham Stallions is the 2026 UFL Championship winner, then the market resolves to Yes. If Columbus Aviators is the 2026 UFL Championship winner, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dallas Renegades is the 2026 UFL Championship winner, then the market resolves to Yes. If Houston Gamblers is the 2026 UFL Championship winner, then the market resolves to Yes. If DC Defenders is the 2026 UFL Championship winner, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisville Kings is the 2026 UFL Championship winner, then the market resolves to Yes. If Orlando Storm is the 2026 UFL Championship winner, then the market resolves to Yes. If St. Louis Battlehawks is the 2026 UFL Championship winner, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and continuous trading rather than fixed bookmaker spreads. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate thousands of independent traders' beliefs. For the UFL Championship, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbooks reveals whether the crowd is more or less bullish on specific teams than professional oddsmakers. These differences can highlight value opportunities or consensus blind spots in how the market prices championship contenders.

The UFL Championship Winner market resolves on Jun 14, 2026, following the conclusion of the UFL championship game. Resolution is determined by which team officially wins the championship title according to the league's final standings and playoff results. Once the champion is crowned, the market settles automatically, paying out traders who held the winning team's contract. Until that date, prices will fluctuate based on team performance, playoff seeding, injuries, and other factors that influence championship odds.

Key catalysts for UFL Championship Winner odds include regular-season performance and win-loss records, playoff seeding announcements, and head-to-head matchups between contenders. Injuries to star players or coaching changes can shift probabilities significantly. Trade deadline moves, team chemistry developments, and momentum heading into the playoffs all influence market pricing. Weather conditions and home-field advantage in playoff games may also trigger repricing. Media narratives and expert predictions can sway retail traders, while sharp money often reacts to roster changes or statistical breakdowns that suggest undervaluation or overvaluation of specific teams.